Politics Trump's core support remains solid, but a significant minority of Republicans have soured, study finds

19:10  09 august  2018
19:10  09 august  2018 Source:   latimes.com

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They had chilly feelings toward Trump during the Republican primaries, but warmed to him once he became the Republican nominee and have remained warm ever since. Those groups, together, continue to make up Trump ’ s core support .

“There are things that he has said, a number of things he has said and done that give me great pause and I have significant concerns about, so I remain in a mode of waiting Although Trump ’ s backing in Utah has been unusually weak for a Republican , Herbert previously said he would support Trump .

a person standing next to a plane: President Trump departs Andrews Air Force Base en route to Wilkes-Barre, Pa., where he will participate in a roundtable with supporters and a Make America Great Again rally on Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, in Joint Base Andrews, Md. © Pool/ABACA/Abaca Press/TNS President Trump departs Andrews Air Force Base en route to Wilkes-Barre, Pa., where he will participate in a roundtable with supporters and a Make America Great Again rally on Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, in Joint Base Andrews, Md.

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump's backing from his core supporters has been famously solid — Trump himself once joked that he could shoot someone on New York's Fifth Avenue without jeopardizing their votes.

But that steadfast backing coexists with a less positive fact for the president: Nearly one in five Trump voters from 2016 have soured on him since he took office, according to a new study by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center.

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Staunch Conservatives comprise the second major tier of core Trump supporters in the Their support for Trump is not exclusive, and they are solidly favorable toward other Republican leaders Experimental studies have found that answers to these questions did not change when other groups

They could even support a Trump New Deal. Despite Mr. Trump ’ s considerable flaws as a In a comprehensive recent study of voter attitudes, Larry Bartels, a political scientist at Vanderbilt, found A majority of Republicans support government action to ensure access to quality health care and

The numbers come from a survey Pew conducted of 3,014 voters who took part in a panel that was questioned three times during 2016 and then again in 2018. Each time, they were asked to rate their feelings about Trump on a 0-to-100 scale.

Because the same people were questioned each time, pollsters could track which individuals changed their minds about Trump.

Based on that, Pew put Trump's voters into one of four categories:

About six in 10 of those who voted for Trump in 2016, the Enthusiasts, had warm feelings toward him all along, going back to the Republican primaries in the spring of 2016, and continue to feel warmly toward him.

Another group, making up just over two in 10 of Trump's voters were the Converts. They had chilly feelings toward Trump during the Republican primaries, but warmed to him once he became the Republican nominee and have remained warm ever since.

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US voters remain deeply skeptical of political polling, but Trump ’ s approval rating so far has been ‘incredibly stable’. Some voters find it hard to understand how Trump could maintain such strong support from Republicans .

The second-ranking Republican and Democratic leaders in the House and Senate have been meeting, along with Trump ' s legislative affairs director, Marc Short, but have yet to find agreement. Job growth remains solid , but workers are still waiting for a real jump in wages.

Those groups, together, continue to make up Trump's core support. On the 0-100 thermometer, they rate their feelings toward Trump, on average, in the mid-80s.

Two other groups are more problematic for the president.

About one in eight people who voted for Trump in 2016 fall into the group Pew labeled as Skeptics. They had chilly feelings toward Trump during the primaries, warmed to him during the general election, but quickly soured again. On average, they currently rate their feelings toward him at a low 33 on the scale.

By comparison, people who voted for Hillary Clinton rate their feelings toward Trump at a frosty 8.

A final, smaller group, the Disillusioned, had warm feelings toward Trump during the primaries and on through the election, but have turned cold since he became president. They made up 6 percent of Trump's voters.

Another problem for Trump is that while about one in five of his voters have grown colder toward him, few on the other side have warmed. Among Clinton voters, 88 percent gave Trump ratings in the "very cold" range, a share that has actually grown since the election, Pew found.

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Trump ' s vows to close the border and deal harshly with immigrants, both those here illegally and legally, hugely energized his core supporters in the presidential election, according to studies by two nonpartisan Job growth remains solid , but workers are still waiting for a real jump in wages.

However, although Trump fared little better among blacks and Hispanics than Romney did four years ago, Hillary Clinton did not run as strongly among these core By 53% to 41%, more men supported Trump than Clinton (the 12-point margin is identical to the margin by which women supported Clinton).

On the other hand, the fact that voters have grown colder toward Trump doesn't necessarily mean they wouldn't vote for him if he runs again. In 2016, a significant number of voters cast ballots for Trump even though they disapproved of him; their negative feelings toward Clinton were greater.

The study also highlighted a big gender gap in feelings toward Trump. A majority of Trump Enthusiasts and Converts are men. By contrast, more than 60 percent of the Skeptics and Disillusioned Trump voters are women.

Trump Enthusiasts are also disproportionately white voters who did not graduate from college — a finding that jibes with the attendance at the president's campaign rallies.

Non-college, white voters made up about two-thirds of those who voted for Trump in 2016 and about three-quarters of the Trump Enthusiasts, the study found.

By contrast, non-white voters made up almost four in 10 of those who cast ballots for Clinton, and only about one in 10 Trump voters.

Blue-collar whites have been declining as a share of the U.S. electorate as the country grows more racially and ethnically diverse and more highly educated. But whites who do not have a college degree remain the largest single slice of the electorate — about 44 percent of those who voted in 2016, according to Pew's data. Trump carried them by more than a 2-1 margin.

Whites with college degrees made up about 30 percent of the voters, and non-whites about 25 percent. Non-whites are much more heavily represented among those who did not vote in 2016, making up almost half the non-voters.

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Source: http://us.pressfrom.com/news/politics/-174948-trumps-core-support-remains-solid-but-a-significant-minority-of-republicans-have-soured-study-finds/

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